Thursday: Rain and storm chances rising, Tropical Depression Four

Eyes on a disturbance that could become tropical storm

By Wednesday evening, Tropical Depression #4 had maximum sustained winds at 30 miles per hour, and most of its convection to its west.

On the present forecast track, Tropical Depression Four will likely pass a safe distance to the north of the islands on Sunday.

2017 has so far seen three named storms: Tropical storms Arlene, Bret, and Cindy. As of the latest advisory, the system is moving to the WNW 21 miles per hour with maximum sustained winds of 30 miles per hour.

In April, forecasters were predicting 11 tropical storms, but now they're calling for 15, with eight of those having the potential to become hurricanes.

A weak tropical depression that developed late Wednesday night is moving west-northwestward in the open Atlantic, but it's not looking very healthy.

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Earlier predictions had called for 14 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.

Tropical Depression 4 has formed deep in the Atlantic. It can still carry heavy rain and strong winds, but it lacks the tropical characteristics of a cyclone.

The wind shear around the storm has weakened, which should allow it to maintain its intensity over the next day or so.

One of the deterrents to the storm strengthening is actually dust/drier air around the system from the Sahara Desert.

Klotzbach says active seasons typically have more land falling hurricanes.

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